1980—2017年祁连山水源涵养量时空变化特征

祁连山是中国西北地区十分重要的生态安全屏障,也是当地极为关键的水源涵养区。基于InVEST模型中的产水量模块,对祁连山水源涵养量和时空变化进行了分析并探讨其影响因素。结果表明：祁连山多年平均产水总量和水源涵养总量约为93.03×10⁸ m³和57.83×10⁸ m³。从时间变化来看,水源涵养量呈上升趋势,上升速率约为0.196 mm·a^-1;在空间上呈“东多西少”的分布格局,与年降水量的空间分布大致相同。不同土地利用类型下的水源涵养总量依次为：草地（31.87×10⁸ m³）>林地（16.71×10⁸ m³）>耕地（4.92×10⁸ m³）>其他用地（2.29×10⁸ m³）>建设用地（0.63×10⁸ m³）。降水量与水源涵养量在所有研究时段内均存在显著正相关性。不同时期土地利用类型的变化也会对水源涵养量产生重要影响,研究区草地面积变化对水源涵养量影响较大。根据建立的经验公式并参考已有研究成果,估算得出研究区多年冻土地下冰储量在550 km³以上,在全球气候变暖的背景下,消融趋势明显。研究可为祁连山水资源合理配置和生态系统保护提供参考。     

古亚洲构造域侵入岩时——空演化框架

长期以来,许多著名学者提出众多模型,讨论古亚洲构造域的构造演化和造山(带)结构样式。但是,认识上的分歧很大,特别是关于主洋盆的空间位置和闭合时间。本文主要基于中国侵入岩大地构造编图(1∶250万)和研究这个侧面,参与讨论。1侵入(岩)弧,碰撞和后造山岩石组合,随时间由西向东变新,同时,主构造带走向从近东西向转为近南北向,暗示古亚洲洋的闭合最终转化为太平洋构造域。2位于主洋盆北侧的是宽阔的西伯利亚克拉通南缘的沟——弧——盆系统;位于南侧的西面为南天山被动陆缘,中部为塔里木克拉通北缘的窄的沟——弧——盆系统,东面为华北克拉通北缘的活动陆缘。3主体侵入(岩)弧的内部分散地分布着从Pt3开始的残留弧和残留oφ,被看做是主体弧的基底。4传统上认为的构造相对稳定的"地块",本文基于它们的侵入(岩)组合归为残留弧,认为不是构造上相对稳定的性质,并未采用"地块"的术语,而把它们看作洋陆转换过程中早期残余岛弧处理。5提出主洋盆的识别有三个标志,(a)洋闭合最晚,(b)或为双向俯冲(当两侧均为活动大陆边缘时),或单向俯冲(当一侧为被动陆缘,另一侧为活动陆缘时),(c)长寿命的洋以及洋闭合带常常发育地中海式残余洋发育的陆——陆碰撞早阶段。6该构造域主要发育Pt3——T的侵入(岩)弧和oφ,支持S¨engor等关于大量新生陆壳的推测,亦与大量花岗岩类为εNd(t)"+"值符合。新生陆壳的形成又暗示,长时间的洋俯冲必导致地幔的冷却,以及大量榴辉岩进入地幔,最终导致高密度的地幔下降流形成,必导致洋的闭合与随后的陆——陆碰撞,形成最初的东亚大陆。     

The Palaeoclimate and Microscopic Reservoir Characteristics of Shanxi Formation Shales from Lower Permian in Qinshui Basin

<正>1 Introduction Qinshui Basin is the major coal bearing basin in China.And the main exploration target layer is CarboniferousPermian.In recent years,not only in the coal-bed methane has made great progress,and also in the tight gas.Besides,shale gas in the Carboniferous-Permian has showed a good exploration prospect.Although Carboniferous-     

河西干旱区短时强降水过程的中尺度分析

运用中尺度天气分析技术,对河西西部干旱区3次短时强降水过程从高空、地面的影响系统、水汽条件、抬升条件、不稳定条件、高低层风场配置等方面进行了对比分析,找出了3次过程的相似点与不同之处,结果表明:500 hPa新疆有低压槽东移,低槽前部甘肃河东到张掖为高压脊或者歪脖子高压,青海高原有低涡或者切变线,相应的低层也为低槽、切变线或者低涡,地面有冷锋、辐合线配合的环流形势是河西西部短时强降水产生的关键,高空急流(200 hPa)或者高空显著流线入口区右侧、地面露点温度Td>10℃的高湿区、低层绝对湿度比湿>6 g/kg,中层500 hPa处在显著湿区、700 hPa假相当位温高能舌、K指数>30℃,CAPE值也明显增大为产生短时强降水提供了有利条件,最后建立了河西西部干旱区短时强降水中尺度天气分析概念模型。     

The influence of freezing drizzle on wire icing during freezing fog events

Both direct and indirect effects of freezing drizzle on ice accretion were analyzed for ten freezing drizzle events during a comprehensive ice thickness, fog, and precipitation observation campaign carried out during the winter of 2008 and 2009 at Enshi Radar Station (3017'N, 10916'E), Hubei Province, China. The growth rate of ice thickness was 0.85 mm h－1 during the freezing drizzle period, while the rate was only 0.4 mm h－1 without sleet and freezing drizzle. The rain intensity, liquid water content (LWC), and diameter of freezing drizzle stayed at low values. The development of microphysical properties of fog was suppressed in the freezing drizzle period. A threshold diameter (Dc) was proposed to estimate the inuence of freezing drizzle on different size ranges of fog droplets. Fog droplets with a diameter less thanDc would be affected slightly by freezing drizzle, while larger fog droplets would be affected signicantly. Dc had a correlation with the average rain intensity, with a correlation coefficient of 0.78. The relationships among the microphysical properties of fog droplets were all positive when the effect of freezing drizzle was weak, while they became poor positive correlations, or even negative correlations during freezing drizzle period. The direct contribution of freezing drizzle to ice thickness was about 14.5%. Considering both the direct and indirect effects, we suggest that freezing drizzle could act as a catalyst causing serious icing conditions.     

利用选权拟合法进行GPS水汽层析解算

附加约束条件的层析解算方法是克服GPS水汽层析观测方程不适定性的主要方法,为了避免该方法中水平约束方程权阵的选取不当对水汽层析结果产生的不良影响,将选权拟合法应用到对流层水汽参数反演中。首先利用水汽参数在空间的分布规律构建参数权矩阵,并利用L曲线法确定正则化参数,然后利用模拟实验对该方法在水汽层析解算中的应用进行了验证。结果表明,该方法可以有效地克服观测方程的不适定性,反演得到符合客观实际的结果。     

近半个世纪来气候变暖背景下黄河流域潜在蒸散量的变化(英文)

According to the meteorological observation data of 72 stations from 1960 to 2010 in the Huanghe (Yellow) River Watershed, China, the long-term variations of potential evapotranspiration, calculated in the modified Penman-Monteith model of Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, were presented, as well as the meteorological causes for the decrease of potential evapotranspiration were discussed. Since 1960, temperature has risen significantly and potential evapotranspiration a decreasing trend, which indicated the existence of "Evaporation paradox" in the Huanghe River Watershed. This phenomenon was not consistent spatially or temporally with the increase of temperature, potential evapotranspiration decreased in spring, summer and winter, mainly over most parts of Shanxi and Henan, and some parts of Gansu, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi. During the recent half century, the trends of temperature and potential evapotranspiration were negatively correlated at most of the stations, while precipitation and potential evapotranspiration exhibited a contrary trend. Calculated in multiple regressions, the contribution to potential evapotranspiration change of related meteorological factors was discussed, including mean pressure, maximum and minimum temperature, sunshine hours, relative humidity and average wind speed. The decrease of wind speed in the Huanghe River Watershed may be the dominating factor causing potential evapotranspiration decreasing.     

小洋山岛大气气溶胶光学厚度的特征分析

小洋山岛位于上海东南面距海岸线约30km处,四面环海,研究其上空的大气气溶胶光学特性对了解我国东部沿海地区及其近海海域的环境和气候影响等都具有重要的意义。对于近岸海岛的气溶胶光学厚度(AOD)观测,至今国内尚未见这方面的实测资料与分析。本次实验利用2006～2007年连续观测得到的AOD值,分析了AOD的季节变化及其与地面风向、湿度和能见度等气象要素的关系,并给出了气溶胶消光谱。分析发现:小洋山地区AOD具有春季最大,冬季次之,秋季较小的特点,而且在低能见度情况下,气溶胶以大粒子为主;盛行西风时,AOD值增大且大粒子比重增加;AOD与湿度有较好的正相关关系。     

西南地区两次典型大暴雨环境场的对比分析

四川盆地位于青藏高原的东侧,受其地理位置的影响,该地区的天气和气候复杂多变。尤其暴雨预报,是气象工作者一直面临的难题。本文利用欧洲中期天气预报中心ERA-Interim再分析资料、格点化的降水资料（CN05.1）以及常规气象观测站探空资料,从环流背景、水汽条件、动力和热力条件对比分析了2015年夏季四川盆地7月13~15日（"7.13"过程）和8月16~18日（"8.16"过程）两次暴雨过程的环境场,以期加深对四川盆地暴雨机制的认识。结果表明:1）相对稳定的大尺度环流形势为两次大暴雨发生发展提供了有利的背景场。2）两次过程均存在明显的高空急流和低空急流,并且"8.16"过程高空急流明显强于"7.13"过程,这也是两次过程降水强度存在明显差异的原因之一。"7.13"过程主要以低空北向急流输送孟加拉湾水汽到四川南部;"8.16"过程低空急流输送孟加拉湾水汽受四川东北部、重庆上空西南涡影响,主要以气旋性环流输送水汽到暴雨上空。3）从暴雨预报的指示意义上分析,两次暴雨过程大气均处于不稳定状态,假相当位温对于暴雨的强度和落区有较好指示。位涡扰动向低层传输,位涡的增大预示着强降水的发生。